In this report, we reproduce the exploratory Study 1 analyses examining differences in intervention effectiveness as a function of beliefs about climate change causes.

prep data

First, we load the relevant packages and data, and define the plotting aesthetics.

load packages

if(!require('pacman')) {
  install.packages('pacman')
}

pacman::p_load(tidyverse, knitr, kableExtra, lmerTest, boot, report, brms, tidybayes, ggpubr, tidyText, EMAtools, broom.mixed, devtools, emmeans)

if (!require(emo)) {
  devtools::install_github('hadley/emo')
}

define functions

# MLM results table function
table_model = function(model_data, sharing_type = FALSE, intercept = FALSE, spread = FALSE, study = TRUE) {
  
  mod = model_data %>%
    rename("SE" = std.error,
           "t" = statistic,
           "p" = p.value) %>%
    select(-group, -effect) %>%
    mutate_at(vars(-contains("term"), -contains("value"), -contains("study"), -contains("sharing_type"), -p), round, 2) %>%
    mutate(term = gsub("msg_", "", term),
           term = gsub("_", " ", term),
           term = gsub(":", " x ", term),
           term = gsub("z", "", term),
           term = gsub("topichealth", "topic (health)", term),
           term = gsub("rel self", "self-relevance", term),
           term = gsub("rel social", "social relevance", term),
           term = gsub("within", "within", term),
           term = gsub("between", "between", term),
           term = gsub("sharing type", "sharing type (narrowcast)", term),
           term = ifelse(grepl("between x ", term), "sharing type (narrowcast) x social relevance between", term),
           term = gsub("article condother", "other - control", term),
           term = gsub("article condself", "self - control", term),
           term = gsub("\\(Intercept\\)", "control", term),
           term = gsub("n c", "word count", term),
           p = ifelse(p < .001, "< .001",
                      ifelse(p == 1, "1.000", gsub("0.(.*)", ".\\1", sprintf("%.3f", p)))),
           `b [95% CI]` = sprintf("%.2f [%0.2f, %.2f]", estimate, conf.low, conf.high))
  
  if (isTRUE(intercept)) {
    mod = mod %>%
      mutate(term = recode(term, "control" = "intercept"))
  }
  
  if (isTRUE(sharing_type) & isTRUE(study)) {
    mod = mod %>%
      mutate(sharing_type = recode(sharing_type, "msg_share_broad" = "broadcast sharing",
                                   "msg_share_narrow" = "narrowcast sharing")) %>%
      select(study, sharing_type, term, `b [95% CI]`, df, t, p) %>%
      arrange(study)
    
  } else if (isTRUE(sharing_type) & isFALSE(study)) {
    mod = mod %>%
      mutate(sharing_type = recode(sharing_type, "msg_share_broad" = "broadcast sharing",
                                   "msg_share_narrow" = "narrowcast sharing")) %>%
      select(sharing_type, term, `b [95% CI]`, df, t, p)
    
  } else if (isFALSE(sharing_type) & isFALSE(study)) {
    mod = mod %>%
      select(term, `b [95% CI]`, df, t, p)
    
  } else {
    
    mod = mod %>%
      select(study, term, `b [95% CI]`, df, t, p) %>%
      arrange(study)
  }
  
  if (isTRUE(spread)) {
    mod %>%
      select(-df, -t, -p) %>%
      spread(study, `b [95% CI]`) %>%
      kable() %>%
      kableExtra::kable_styling()
    
  } else {
    mod %>%
      kable() %>%
      kableExtra::kable_styling()
  }
}

define aesthetics

palette_condition = c("self" = "#ee9b00",
                      "control" = "#0a9396",
                      "other" = "#005f73")
palette_dv = c("self-relevance" = "#ee9b00",
               "social relevance" = "#005f73",
               "broadcast sharing" = "#5F0F40",
               "narrowcast sharing" = "#D295BF")
palette_sharing = c("broadcast sharing" = "#5F0F40",
                    "narrowcast sharing" = "#D295BF")

plot_aes = theme_minimal() +
  theme(legend.position = "top",
        legend.text = element_text(size = 12),
        text = element_text(size = 16, family = "Futura Medium"),
        panel.grid.major = element_blank(),
        panel.grid.minor = element_blank(),
        axis.text = element_text(color = "black"),
        axis.line = element_line(colour = "black"),
        axis.ticks.y = element_blank())

load & tidy data

climate_belief = read.csv("../data/study1_climate_cause.csv", stringsAsFactors = FALSE) %>%
  filter(scale_name == "climate_change_cause") %>%
  select(SID, value) %>%
  rename("climate_change_cause" = value)

merged = read.csv("../data/study1_data.csv", stringsAsFactors = FALSE) %>%
  left_join(., climate_belief) %>%
  gather(sharing_type, msg_share, contains("share")) %>%
  group_by(sharing_type) %>%
  mutate(msg_share_z = scale(msg_share, scale = TRUE, center = TRUE),
         msg_rel_self_z = scale(msg_rel_self, scale = TRUE, center = TRUE),
         msg_rel_social_z = scale(msg_rel_social, scale = TRUE, center = TRUE)) 

H3: sharing ~ intervention condition * climate cause

run models

fit_mod = function(data){
  mod = lmerTest::lmer(msg_share_z ~ 1 + article_cond * climate_change_cause +
                         (1 | SID) +
                         (1 | article_number), data = data,
                       control = lmerControl(optimizer = "bobyqa"))
  return(mod)
}

model_lmer = merged  %>%
  group_by(sharing_type) %>%
  nest() %>%
  mutate(test = map(data, fit_mod))

model_data_share = model_lmer %>% 
  mutate(tidied = map(test, broom.mixed::tidy, conf.int = TRUE)) %>%
  select(-data, -test) %>%
  unnest(cols = tidied) %>%
  filter(effect == "fixed") %>%
  ungroup()

predicted_data_share = model_lmer %>% 
  mutate(predicted = map(test, modelbased::estimate_contrasts,
                         contrast = "article_cond",
                         by = c("climate_change_cause=seq(2,5,.2)"))) %>%
  select(-data, -test) %>%
  unnest(cols = predicted) %>%
  mutate(Difference = Difference * -1,
         CI_low = CI_low * -1,
         CI_high = CI_high * -1) %>%
  filter(Level1 == "control")

model summary table

table_model(model_data_share, sharing_type = TRUE, study = FALSE)
sharing_type term b [95% CI] df t p
broadcast sharing control -0.62 [-0.93, -0.30] 1640.83 -3.81 < .001
broadcast sharing other - control 0.81 [0.23, 1.38] 1632.62 2.74 .006
broadcast sharing self - control -0.13 [-0.69, 0.44] 1633.46 -0.44 .664
broadcast sharing climate change cause 0.10 [0.02, 0.18] 1623.60 2.54 .011
broadcast sharing other - control x climate change cause -0.08 [-0.22, 0.06] 1633.13 -1.16 .247
broadcast sharing self - control x climate change cause 0.13 [-0.01, 0.27] 1632.46 1.89 .059
narrowcast sharing control -0.81 [-1.12, -0.50] 1612.55 -5.16 < .001
narrowcast sharing other - control 1.05 [0.50, 1.61] 1633.42 3.70 < .001
narrowcast sharing self - control 0.31 [-0.24, 0.86] 1634.57 1.10 .271
narrowcast sharing climate change cause 0.15 [0.08, 0.23] 1621.74 4.09 < .001
narrowcast sharing other - control x climate change cause -0.15 [-0.29, -0.02] 1634.09 -2.20 .028
narrowcast sharing self - control x climate change cause 0.01 [-0.13, 0.14] 1633.28 0.07 .941

plot predicted

predicted_data_share %>%
  mutate(sharing_type = recode(sharing_type, "msg_share_broad" = "broadcast sharing",
                                   "msg_share_narrow" = "narrowcast sharing")) %>%
  ggplot(aes(x = climate_change_cause, y = Difference)) +
  geom_ribbon(aes(fill = Level2, ymin = CI_low, ymax = CI_high), alpha = 0.2) +
  geom_line(aes(colour = Level2), size = 2) +
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = "dashed") +
  facet_grid(~sharing_type) +
  scale_color_manual(name = "", values = palette_condition) + 
  scale_fill_manual(name = "", values = palette_condition) + 
  labs(x = "\nclimate change cause\n(2 = mostly natural, 5 = entirely human)",
       y = "predicted difference\n(intervention - control in SD)\n") +
  plot_aes

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